Institutional-grade market making across the leading prediction market platforms.
A prediction market maker quotes binary outcomes across hundreds of concurrent markets.
Raven operates across prediction market venues as core business, not as a side allocation. The infrastructure was built for the kind of systematic, continuous quoting these markets require, and the results show up as spread quality, depth, and consistent quoting through the moments that matter.
Systematic liquidity across various prediction market venues.
notable venues
Collaborating with various prediction markets
Three things that rarely show up together in one market-making firm.
01
We built Raven as an HFT firm first and a market maker second. That order matters. The result is tighter spreads, and quotes that stay live when slower shops widen or pull.
02
When volatility spikes, most market makers step back from the book entirely. We don't. Staying present when liquidity thins out is when counterparties feel the difference most.
03
Multiple dedicated prediction market partnerships already in place. The firm has operational experience with prediction venue go-lives, not just prediction market trading.
01
Prediction markets are venues where traders buy and sell contracts that pay out based on the outcome of real-world events — elections, sports, macro prints, crypto price levels, regulatory decisions. Each contract is structured as a pair of binary shares: Yes and No always sum to one dollar, with the winning side settling at one dollar and the losing side at zero. On-chain venues like Polymarket and Limitless and regulated venues like Kalshi are where most of this activity happens today.
02
A prediction market maker is a firm that continuously places buy and sell orders on prediction market contracts, ensuring that traders always have a counterparty when they want to enter or exit a position. Without market makers, platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi would have wide spreads, thin order books, and prices that don't reliably reflect the actual probability of an outcome. Institutional market makers like Raven use proprietary algorithms to price thousands of contracts simultaneously across categories like politics, sports, crypto, economics, and entertainment. By keeping spreads tight and books deep around the clock, market makers are what make prediction markets functional as both trading venues and forecasting tools.
03
Prediction market platforms now cover a remarkably wide range of real-world events. The most popular categories include politics and elections (who will win a race, what policy will pass), sports (game outcomes, player performances, season results), economics (interest rate decisions, inflation numbers, jobs data), crypto (token prices, protocol milestones, regulatory actions), entertainment and pop culture (award shows, release dates, viral moments), weather, and breaking news events. Kalshi has reported that sports contracts now drive approximately 90% of its trading volume, while Polymarket remains strongest in politics and crypto-related markets. Raven provides market making across all of these categories, ensuring deep and reliable liquidity regardless of the event type.
04
Yes. On-chain prediction venues and CFTC-regulated event contract venues each have their own technical and regulatory constraints. Raven operates across both, with different integration and compliance workflows for each category.
05
Yes. Raven has served as exclusive anchor market maker for multiple prediction venue launches like, for example, Gemini Predictions. Launch engagements cover day-zero depth, price discovery mechanics, oracle integration, category seeding, and ongoing operation as the venue scales past launch phase. Venues considering a prediction market product typically engage at least four to eight weeks before public launch.
Raven partners with prediction market venues and platforms where systematic HFT liquidity genuinely changes the quality of the book: tighter spreads, deeper depth, and clean behavior.
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