FOR PREDICTION VENUE FOUNDERS

Prediction Market
Launches

Dedicated liquidity provider for prediction market venue launches.

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PARTNERSHIPS

Launch
partnerships

Venues where Raven serves as exclusive or anchor launch market maker.

Gemini Predictions

Exclusive launch partner

Anchor market-making role for Gemini's prediction market product at launch. Depth, spread, and uptime commitments structured around the venue's go-live timeline.

Predict.fun

Exclusive launch partner

Day-zero anchor liquidity across the venue's prediction market categories, with systematic quoting tuned for its oracle and settlement model.

Backpack Predictions

Exclusive launch partner

Anchor market-making commitment for Backpack's prediction market launch, with coverage across the venue's market category mix from day one.

Established venues

Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, etc

Active liquidity provision on established prediction market venues where Raven participates as one of multiple market makers rather than exclusive launch partner.

DIFFERENTIATORS

Why Raven
for a prediction launch

Prediction markets are the hardest test in  market-making right now. Raven is one of the few firms built to pass it.

01

HFT-first execution

We built Raven as an HFT firm first and a market maker second. That order matters. The result is tighter spreads, and quotes that stay live when slower shops widen or pull.

02

uninterrupted engagement

When volatility spikes, most market makers step back from the book entirely. We don't. Staying present when liquidity thins out is when counterparties feel the difference most.

03

Venue partnerships

Multiple exclusive launch partnerships already in place. The firm has operational experience with prediction venue go-lives, not just prediction market trading.

QUESTIONS

Frequently
asked

01

What does a prediction market launch partnership cover?

Day-zero anchor liquidity across the venue's initial market categories, with defined depth, spread, and uptime commitments. Coordination with the venue's engineering team on integration, oracle and settlement specifics, and the listing timeline for early markets. Ongoing operation as the venue scales past launch phase into steady-state flow.

02

Why does a prediction market need a market maker at launch?

A new venue goes live with empty order books. Without someone posting consistent two-sided quotes, spreads are wide, fills are unreliable, and the first traders who arrive leave unimpressed. That first impression shapes how the platform gets talked about for months. A launch market maker provides the resting liquidity that makes the product usable from day one. Tight spreads, reliable depth, quotes that stay live when markets move. For a venue, this is the difference between a launch that builds momentum and one that stalls waiting for organic liquidity that never fully materializes.

03

What types of events can you trade on prediction markets?

Prediction market platforms now cover a remarkably wide range of real-world events. The most popular categories include politics and elections (who will win a race, what policy will pass), sports (game outcomes, player performances, season results), economics (interest rate decisions, inflation numbers, jobs data), crypto (token prices, protocol milestones, regulatory actions), entertainment and pop culture (award shows, release dates, viral moments), weather, and breaking news events. Kalshi has reported that sports contracts now drive approximately 90% of its trading volume, while Polymarket remains strongest in politics and crypto-related markets. Raven provides market making across all of these categories, ensuring deep and reliable liquidity regardless of the event type.

04

Does Raven support both on-chain and regulated venues?

Yes. On-chain prediction venues and CFTC-regulated event contract venues each have their own technical and regulatory constraints. Raven operates across both, with different integration and compliance workflows for each category.

05

What is a prediction market maker?

A prediction market maker is a firm that continuously places buy and sell orders on prediction market contracts, ensuring that traders always have a counterparty when they want to enter or exit a position. Without market makers, platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi would have wide spreads, thin order books, and prices that don't reliably reflect the actual probability of an outcome. Institutional market makers like Raven use proprietary algorithms to price thousands of contracts simultaneously across categories like politics, sports, crypto, economics, and entertainment. By keeping spreads tight and books deep around the clock, market makers are what make prediction markets functional as both trading venues and forecasting tools.

GET IN TOUCH

Launching a prediction venue?

Raven takes on a limited number of launch partnerships at any one time. If your venue is approaching its go-live and needs the kind of anchor liquidity that makes the category viable from day one, the conversation is the fastest way to see whether there's a fit.

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